Orcadian

R3 254 MMbbl heavy oil field carried to first oil by Ping Petroleum, targeting 22,000 bopd via polymer flood with Captain field analogue. · FDP Preparation

Pilot Field

R3 Fixed Supply · 20,000 tokens

P2244 · Blocks 21/27, 21/28 · Operator: Ping Petroleum (81.25% WI)

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Fair Value

$24.67

P10: $11.2 · P90: $42.15

Breakeven Oil

$58/bbl

At $75 base case

Discount Rate

20%

20% built-up RADR

Peak Production

22,208 bopd

Year 2033

2P Reserves

78.819 MMbbl

Sproule CPR (Apr 2021)

Recovery Factor

47.4%

Polymer flood EOR

Carry Mechanics — Critical Value Driver

Ping carries Orcadian through first oil (zero capex). During repayment of ~$1.6bn capex, Orcadian receives only 10% of gross revenue (vs 18.75% WI). 80/20 split: Ping takes 80%, Orcadian 20% less TGS ORRI & opex. Estimated 7 years to full repayment. Post-carry distributions jump ~3× as Orcadian reverts to full 18.75% WI.

Pilot Production Profile — Gross Field Rate

Annual average bopd · Carry phase (amber) vs Post-carry (teal)

Source: Sproule CPR April 2021 + Management Pilot Subsurface

Distribution per Token — R3 Yield Profile

$/token/year across 16-year field life · Carry inflection at 2037

Source: Albion DCF Model v2.0

Revenue Waterfall — Peak Year 2033 (During Carry)

How $114m gross revenue flows to R3 token distributions

Source: Albion DCF Model v2.0

R3 Sensitivity Analysis

Fair value impact by input variable

Source: Albion DCF Model v2.0

Token Economics — Revenue Waterfall (During Carry)

How gross revenue cascades to R3 token distributions · Steady-state carry period

Source: Albion DCF Model v2.0

Token Economics — Revenue Waterfall (Post-Carry)

Post-carry: Orcadian reverts to 18.75% WI — distributions jump ~2×

Source: Albion DCF Model v2.0

STOIIP — 5 Independent Estimates

Range of Stock Tank Oil Initially In Place estimates · Core area vs Total field

Source: Venture 2017, EnQuest 2020, Sproule CPR 2021, Axis 2022, Management 2025

Carry Timeline — Revenue Interest Phases

Orcadian receives 10% RI during carry repayment, then 18.75% WI post-carry

Source: Ping Petroleum carry agreement · Albion DCF Model v2.0

STOIIP Estimates Comparison

SourceSTOIIP (MMbbl)Note
Axis Geoscience 2022254Full field including peripheral — Mid Case
Sproule CPR (Reserves area)205Main 181 + South 24 MMbbl — basis for reserves
Sproule CPR (+ Peripheral)244Reserves 205 + Peripheral contingent 39 MMbbl
Sproule CPR P5091P50 (partial area)
Sproule CPR P10112High case

Recovery Factor Comparison

MethodRFRecoverySource
Waterflood only8-12%20-30 MMbblEnQuest 2012
Polymer flood 1P (Sproule)30%61.5 MMbblSproule CPR
Polymer flood 2P (Sproule)40%82.0 MMbblSproule CPR
Polymer flood 3P (Sproule)55%112.8 MMbblSproule CPR
Polymer flood (lab)76.7%~70 (lab core) MMbblKemSweep lab test

Annual Cash Flows

YearPhaseGross bopdGross Rev $mORC Rev $mOpex $mTax $mPost-tax $m$/token
2030Carry6,29232.33.231.71.150.38$0.43
2031Carry17,71590.99.004.83.151.05$1.18
2032Carry17,48589.78.884.73.141.05$1.18
2033Carry22,208114.011.296.03.971.32$1.49
2034Carry20,926107.410.635.63.771.26$1.42
2035Carry20,528105.410.445.53.711.24$1.39
2036Carry19,520100.29.925.33.471.16$1.30
2037Post-carry19,44199.818.525.39.923.31$3.72
2038Post-carry19,11098.118.215.29.763.25$3.66
2039Post-carry19,16898.418.275.29.803.27$3.67
2040Post-carry16,29783.715.544.48.362.79$3.13
2041Post-carry12,46964.011.883.46.362.12$2.39
2042Post-carry8,92245.88.502.44.581.53$1.72
2043Post-carry6,56233.76.261.83.351.12$1.25
2044Post-carry5,09926.24.861.42.600.87$0.97
2045Post-carry2,10910.82.010.61.060.35$0.40
Total Undiscounted$29.30
Discounted Fair Value (20% RADR)$24.67

Reservoir Properties

API Gravity

15.8°

Viscosity

409 cP

Depth

2650 ft

Temperature

88°F

Permeability

4,000 mD

Porosity

35%

Net Pay

60 ft

Polymer

KemSweep NLP-5001

Fiscal Regime

Ring Fence CT

30%

Supplementary Charge

10%

Energy Profits Levy

35%

Total Marginal Rate

75%

EPL Sunset

2030 (assumed extended)

Heavy Oil Discount

10% to Brent

Base Oil Price

$75/bbl

Realised Price

$67.5/bbl

Sproule CPR — OIIP Breakdown (April 2021)

AreaOIIP (MMbbl)AcresNet Pay (ft)PorosityClassification
Pilot Main1811,4205434%Reserves
Pilot South243003731%Reserves
Reserves subtotal2051,720
Pilot Peripheral397782433%Contingent (Dev Unclarified)

Source: Sproule B.V. CPR, effective April 1, 2021. Axis Geoscience (2022) full-field STOIIP of 254 MMbbl includes additional prospective areas.

Sproule NPV — 2P Reserves (Pre-EPL, 40% tax)

Based on Brent $55 long-term + 2%/yr escalation, $1.35/£. These values are at the ADMISSION tax regime (40%). Current EPL regime (75%) would materially reduce after-tax values.

Metric0%5%8%10%15%20%
2P Before Tax ($M)1,6381,045791654393218
2P After Tax ($M)1,121705524425236107
2P Tax ($M)518340268229158111

Well Penetrations — Pilot & Adjacent

WellFieldZoneIP (bopd)YearStatus
21/27a-5xPilot MainTay1,8501998Abandoned
21/28a-8zDandyTay1,0801998Abandoned
21/28a-6CrinanTay1,0161987Abandoned
21/27-2Pilot MainTay1151990Abandoned
21/27a-5zPilot MainTay1998Abandoned
21/27a-6Pilot MainTay1998Abandoned
21/27-3Pilot MainTay2007Abandoned
21/27-4Pilot MainTay1989Abandoned
21/27-1APilot SouthTay1990Abandoned
21/27b-7BlakeneyTay2010Abandoned
28/3-1BElkeTay2000Abandoned
28/2-1NarwhalTay1993Abandoned
28/2a-2NarwhalTay2007Dry

All wells abandoned. No current production from any Orcadian licence. Source: Sproule CPR Table 1.